Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VentspilsHOME · -
91 : 842023.03.09 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsParnu
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.00
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
W · 81-91L · 91-72W · 102-55L · 91-84W · 75-86
Parnu
W · 81-65L · 85-79L · 80-70L · 79-68W · 72-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.08 | Parnu | 89 : 80 | Ventspils |
| 2023.12.20 | Ventspils | 91 : 84 | Parnu |
| 2023.12.03 | Parnu | 77 : 80 | Ventspils |
| 2023.03.09 | Ventspils | 91 : 84 | Parnu |
| 2022.12.04 | Parnu | 81 : 75 | Ventspils |
| 2019.03.31 | Ventspils | 94 : 80 | Parnu |
| 2019.03.29 | Parnu | 80 : 83 | Ventspils |
| 2019.02.11 | Parnu | 72 : 82 | Ventspils |
| 2018.10.04 | Ventspils | 97 : 62 | Parnu |