Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

Tartu UlikoolHOME · -

65 : 802023.03.08 · 종료

BK OgreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.6%

VALUE EDGE+55.6%

FAIR ODDS1.80

GRADEA

Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42

173.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.75

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation4.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tartu Ulikool

L · 80-75L · 73-91W · 79-68W · 83-53W · 71-78

BK Ogre

W · 93-66L · 99-68W · 68-99L · 81-75W · 72-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.06	Tartu Ulikool	82 : 76	BK Ogre
2023.10.21	BK Ogre	65 : 80	Tartu Ulikool
2023.03.08	Tartu Ulikool	65 : 80	BK Ogre
2022.11.24	BK Ogre	75 : 86	Tartu Ulikool
2019.02.10	BK Ogre	99 : 89	Tartu Ulikool
2018.10.27	Tartu Ulikool	91 : 94	BK Ogre