Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

Tallinna KalevHOME · -

76 : 872023.03.04 · 종료

Valmiera Glass ViaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY20.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +79.2%

VALUE EDGE+79.2%

FAIR ODDS1.26

GRADEA

Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsValmiera Glass Via

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better +2.67

163.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

12.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

79.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

20.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tallinna Kalev

L · 94-65L · 87-82L · 72-68W · 92-59L · 61-67

Valmiera Glass Via

L · 72-102L · 56-96L · 72-60L · 76-93L · 87-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.02	Valmiera Glass Via	96 : 62	Tallinna Kalev
2023.09.30	Tallinna Kalev	87 : 79	Valmiera Glass Via
2023.03.04	Tallinna Kalev	76 : 87	Valmiera Glass Via
2022.12.04	Valmiera Glass Via	91 : 77	Tallinna Kalev
2019.01.28	Valmiera Glass Via	63 : 86	Tallinna Kalev