Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
73 : 852023.02.18 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-18.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
168.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.67
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 59-102W · 81-75L · 103-80L · 92-59L · 70-69
BC Kalev
W · 99-68W · 56-96W · 73-63L · 83-79W · 76-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.18 | Rakvere Tarvas | 73 : 85 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.10.05 | BC Kalev | 111 : 65 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2022.03.17 | BC Kalev | 95 : 60 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2021.05.04 | BC Kalev | 91 : 78 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2021.05.02 | Rakvere Tarvas | 83 : 98 | BC Kalev |
| 2014.12.21 | BC Kalev | 73 : 74 | Rakvere Tarvas |