Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VentspilsHOME · -
102 : 552023.02.16 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.8%
VALUE EDGE+73.8%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
L · 91-84W · 75-86W · 98-59W · 65-78W · 70-78
BK Liepaja
L · 68-99W · 75-85L · 89-62W · 70-69L · 84-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.05 | Ventspils | 103 : 91 | BK Liepaja |
| 2025.01.29 | BK Liepaja | 64 : 87 | Ventspils |
| 2024.01.25 | BK Liepaja | 70 : 90 | Ventspils |
| 2023.02.16 | Ventspils | 102 : 55 | BK Liepaja |
| 2022.12.07 | BK Liepaja | 72 : 60 | Ventspils |
| 2019.03.17 | Ventspils | 97 : 67 | BK Liepaja |
| 2018.10.20 | BK Liepaja | 66 : 110 | Ventspils |
| 2014.09.28 | BK Liepaja | 71 : 67 | Ventspils |