Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Valmiera Glass ViaHOME · -
56 : 962023.02.12 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.5%
VALUE EDGE+79.5%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Valmiera Glass ViaAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
166.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera Glass Via
L · 72-60L · 76-93L · 87-55L · 87-60W · 87-85
BC Kalev
W · 73-63L · 83-79W · 76-79L · 70-92L · 73-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.15 | Valmiera Glass Via | 82 : 74 | BC Kalev |
| 2024.01.13 | Valmiera Glass Via | 79 : 86 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.10.21 | BC Kalev | 108 : 68 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2023.02.12 | Valmiera Glass Via | 56 : 96 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.12.08 | BC Kalev | 101 : 73 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2019.01.17 | BC Kalev | 88 : 79 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2018.11.11 | Valmiera Glass Via | 71 : 84 | BC Kalev |