Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
71 : 782023.02.05 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.8%
VALUE EDGE+59.8%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.00
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
W · 103-84L · 73-76L · 89-81L · 71-74W · 71-85
Tartu Ulikool
L · 78-97L · 78-73W · 59-81W · 89-62L · 75-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.29 | Rapla | 79 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.12.10 | Tartu Ulikool | 71 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2023.02.05 | Rapla | 71 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.12.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 73 : 51 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.22 | Rapla | 77 : 76 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.25 | Rapla | 83 : 55 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.24 | Tartu Ulikool | 54 : 74 | Rapla |
| 2021.04.21 | Rapla | 67 : 77 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.03.21 | Rapla | 81 : 65 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.03.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 67 : 77 | Rapla |