Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

Rakvere TarvasHOME · -

81 : 752023.02.04 · 종료

BK OgreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY75.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +75.4%

VALUE EDGE+75.4%

FAIR ODDS1.33

GRADEA

Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-20.08 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42

169.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.75

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

24.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

75.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Rakvere Tarvas

L · 103-80L · 92-59L · 70-69L · 98-59L · 76-78

BK Ogre

W · 72-68L · 87-85W · 97-76L · 78-100W · 79-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.05	BK Ogre	93 : 66	Rakvere Tarvas
2023.02.04	Rakvere Tarvas	81 : 75	BK Ogre
2016.11.30	BK Ogre	0 : 20	Rakvere Tarvas
2016.10.20	Rakvere Tarvas	79 : 101	BK Ogre