Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

BK OgreHOME · -

72 : 682023.01.29 · 종료

Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY23.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +76.2%

VALUE EDGE+76.2%

FAIR ODDS1.31

GRADES

BK OgreAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83

174.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

76.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

23.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BK Ogre

L · 87-85W · 97-76L · 78-100W · 79-80W · 92-75

Tallinna Kalev

W · 92-59L · 61-67L · 81-83L · 74-63L · 72-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.12	Tallinna Kalev	88 : 100	BK Ogre
2023.11.26	BK Ogre	101 : 73	Tallinna Kalev
2023.01.29	BK Ogre	72 : 68	Tallinna Kalev
2022.12.11	Tallinna Kalev	56 : 63	BK Ogre
2019.01.10	BK Ogre	94 : 77	Tallinna Kalev
2018.10.20	Tallinna Kalev	83 : 81	BK Ogre