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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
PrometeyHOME · -
89 : 812023.01.22 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.7%
VALUE EDGE+80.7%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
PrometeyAnalysis MetricsRapla
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
153.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Prometey
W · 79-72W · 104-75W · 72-80W · 82-115W · 66-95
Rapla
L · 71-74W · 71-85W · 74-63L · 92-75L · 73-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.21Rapla61 : 102Prometey
2023.10.15Prometey90 : 66Rapla
2023.01.22Prometey89 : 81Rapla
2022.12.29Rapla73 : 95Prometey