Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
61 : 672023.01.22 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.1%
VALUE EDGE+79.1%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.83
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 81-83L · 74-63L · 72-78L · 81-92L · 62-97
VEF Riga
W · 71-74W · 85-41W · 95-48W · 60-102W · 81-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.22 | Tallinna Kalev | 66 : 92 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.12.11 | VEF Riga | 94 : 64 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.01.22 | Tallinna Kalev | 61 : 67 | VEF Riga |
| 2022.12.14 | VEF Riga | 93 : 60 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.01.24 | Tallinna Kalev | 83 : 93 | VEF Riga |
| 2018.09.30 | VEF Riga | 95 : 56 | Tallinna Kalev |