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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
BK LiepajaHOME · -
70 : 692023.01.22 · 종료
Rakvere TarvasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.0%
VALUE EDGE+84.0%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADES
BK LiepajaAnalysis MetricsRakvere Tarvas
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+3.08 Point MarginHigher is better -19.50
161.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.50
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
16.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Liepaja
L · 84-58W · 81-83W · 97-79L · 81-76L · 69-71
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 98-59L · 76-78L · 94-72L · 66-95L · 96-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.22BK Liepaja70 : 69Rakvere Tarvas
2022.11.19Rakvere Tarvas96 : 90BK Liepaja
2016.02.24BK Liepaja93 : 87Rakvere Tarvas
2016.02.11Rakvere Tarvas50 : 74BK Liepaja
2015.12.17Rakvere Tarvas59 : 77BK Liepaja
2015.11.19BK Liepaja79 : 73Rakvere Tarvas
2015.01.15BK Liepaja94 : 69Rakvere Tarvas
2014.11.06Rakvere Tarvas89 : 65BK Liepaja