Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
81 : 832023.01.14 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.0%
VALUE EDGE+55.0%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation4.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 74-63L · 72-78L · 81-92L · 62-97L · 93-60
BK Liepaja
W · 97-79L · 81-76L · 69-71W · 86-89L · 90-58
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.10 | Tallinna Kalev | 85 : 77 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.11.10 | BK Liepaja | 87 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.01.14 | Tallinna Kalev | 81 : 83 | BK Liepaja |
| 2022.10.29 | BK Liepaja | 86 : 83 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2018.11.11 | Tallinna Kalev | 73 : 60 | BK Liepaja |
| 2017.02.22 | BK Liepaja | 86 : 73 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2017.02.08 | Tallinna Kalev | 75 : 92 | BK Liepaja |