Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

BK OgreHOME · -

92 : 752023.01.08 · 종료

RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.5%

VALUE EDGE+59.5%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

BK OgreAnalysis MetricsRapla

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58

174.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation8.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BK Ogre

W · 61-63W · 78-79L · 79-86W · 56-63W · 88-74

Rapla

L · 73-95L · 82-74W · 69-71L · 73-51W · 76-107

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.22	Rapla	72 : 61	BK Ogre
2023.01.08	BK Ogre	92 : 75	Rapla
2022.12.04	Rapla	81 : 71	BK Ogre
2019.03.17	Rapla	83 : 95	BK Ogre
2018.12.16	BK Ogre	84 : 77	Rapla