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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
70 : 772022.12.24 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better +8.83
173.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
9.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
39.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
60.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
W · 73-51W · 65-84W · 77-75W · 88-95W · 75-86
VEF Riga
W · 82-70W · 93-60W · 91-67W · 76-88W · 104-47

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01VEF Riga74 : 86Tartu Ulikool
2024.01.07VEF Riga88 : 73Tartu Ulikool
2023.10.15Tartu Ulikool74 : 72VEF Riga
2022.12.24Tartu Ulikool70 : 77VEF Riga
2022.10.19VEF Riga89 : 77Tartu Ulikool
2019.03.23VEF Riga99 : 41Tartu Ulikool
2019.01.17Tartu Ulikool75 : 81VEF Riga