Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Valmiera Glass ViaHOME · -
86 : 892022.12.18 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.7%
VALUE EDGE+56.7%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Valmiera Glass ViaAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
166.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera Glass Via
L · 76-107L · 101-73W · 91-77L · 88-95W · 83-82
BK Liepaja
L · 90-58W · 72-60L · 65-84L · 89-94L · 88-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.12 | Valmiera Glass Via | 87 : 84 | BK Liepaja |
| 2025.04.06 | Valmiera Glass Via | 84 : 73 | BK Liepaja |
| 2024.03.14 | BK Liepaja | 83 : 74 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2023.11.25 | Valmiera Glass Via | 65 : 88 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.03.09 | BK Liepaja | 83 : 69 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2022.12.18 | Valmiera Glass Via | 86 : 89 | BK Liepaja |
| 2019.02.20 | BK Liepaja | 73 : 71 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2018.12.23 | Valmiera Glass Via | 87 : 93 | BK Liepaja |