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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
84 : 1142022.12.15 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsParnu
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-16.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.00
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
68.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 85-102L · 104-47L · 77-80W · 96-90L · 98-76
Parnu
W · 90-58W · 81-75L · 94-99L · 66-81W · 75-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.02Parnu103 : 80Rakvere Tarvas
2022.12.15Rakvere Tarvas84 : 114Parnu
2022.04.07Rakvere Tarvas62 : 109Parnu
2021.03.25Rakvere Tarvas58 : 87Parnu
2021.03.10Parnu93 : 62Rakvere Tarvas
2016.10.29Parnu83 : 78Rakvere Tarvas
2013.12.23Parnu64 : 68Rakvere Tarvas