Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

VEF RigaHOME · -

93 : 602022.12.14 · 종료

Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +87.9%

VALUE EDGE+87.9%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADES

VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+8.83 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83

172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

87.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

VEF Riga

W · 91-67W · 76-88W · 104-47W · 60-73W · 80-90

Tallinna Kalev

L · 56-63L · 78-82L · 91-77W · 76-75L · 74-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.22	Tallinna Kalev	66 : 92	VEF Riga
2023.12.11	VEF Riga	94 : 64	Tallinna Kalev
2023.01.22	Tallinna Kalev	61 : 67	VEF Riga
2022.12.14	VEF Riga	93 : 60	Tallinna Kalev
2019.01.24	Tallinna Kalev	83 : 93	VEF Riga
2018.09.30	VEF Riga	95 : 56	Tallinna Kalev