Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
73 : 512022.12.14 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.1%
VALUE EDGE+55.1%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsRapla
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
173.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation4.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
W · 65-84W · 77-75W · 88-95W · 75-86W · 84-99
Rapla
W · 76-107W · 81-71W · 67-59W · 66-81W · 77-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.29 | Rapla | 79 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.12.10 | Tartu Ulikool | 71 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2023.02.05 | Rapla | 71 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.12.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 73 : 51 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.22 | Rapla | 77 : 76 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.25 | Rapla | 83 : 55 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.24 | Tartu Ulikool | 54 : 74 | Rapla |
| 2021.04.21 | Rapla | 67 : 77 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.03.21 | Rapla | 81 : 65 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.03.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 67 : 77 | Rapla |