Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe

Valmiera Glass ViaHOME · -
76 : 1072022.12.11 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.5%
VALUE EDGE+65.5%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Valmiera Glass ViaAnalysis MetricsRapla
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
166.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera Glass Via
L · 101-73W · 91-77L · 88-95W · 83-82L · 104-96
Rapla
W · 81-71W · 67-59W · 66-81W · 77-62L · 67-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.17 | Rapla | 76 : 83 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2023.03.12 | Rapla | 96 : 64 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2022.12.11 | Valmiera Glass Via | 76 : 107 | Rapla |
| 2019.02.11 | Valmiera Glass Via | 69 : 82 | Rapla |
| 2018.10.13 | Rapla | 100 : 88 | Valmiera Glass Via |