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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Valmiera Glass ViaHOME · -
76 : 1072022.12.11 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.5%
VALUE EDGE+65.5%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Valmiera Glass ViaAnalysis MetricsRapla
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.67 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
166.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera Glass Via
L · 101-73W · 91-77L · 88-95W · 83-82L · 104-96
Rapla
W · 81-71W · 67-59W · 66-81W · 77-62L · 67-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.17Rapla76 : 83Valmiera Glass Via
2023.03.12Rapla96 : 64Valmiera Glass Via
2022.12.11Valmiera Glass Via76 : 107Rapla
2019.02.11Valmiera Glass Via69 : 82Rapla
2018.10.13Rapla100 : 88Valmiera Glass Via