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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
85 : 1022022.12.11 · 종료
Keila KKAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsKeila KK
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-16.33 Point MarginHigher is better -10.67
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.83
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
9.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 104-47L · 77-80W · 96-90L · 98-76L · 72-88
Keila KK
W · 78-82L · 76-88L · 67-59W · 89-94L · 93-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.24Keila KK96 : 71Rakvere Tarvas
2022.12.11Rakvere Tarvas85 : 102Keila KK