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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
ParnuHOME · -
90 : 582022.12.11 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08
156.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.58
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation11.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
W · 81-75L · 94-99L · 66-81W · 75-67L · 83-82
BK Liepaja
W · 72-60L · 65-84L · 89-94L · 88-91L · 82-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.26Parnu76 : 73BK Liepaja
2024.02.11Parnu83 : 79BK Liepaja
2023.12.08BK Liepaja75 : 65Parnu
2022.12.11Parnu90 : 58BK Liepaja
2019.01.28Parnu96 : 83BK Liepaja
2018.10.13BK Liepaja62 : 93Parnu
2017.01.12Parnu93 : 75BK Liepaja
2016.11.17BK Liepaja90 : 76Parnu