Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Latvia-Estonian League Europe

RaplaHOME · -

81 : 712022.12.04 · 종료

BK OgreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.6%

VALUE EDGE+57.6%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADEB

RaplaAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-3.58 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42

149.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.75

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.2 / 15

Prediction separation6.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Rapla

W · 67-59W · 66-81W · 77-62L · 67-79L · 81-62

BK Ogre

L · 75-86L · 80-90L · 88-94L · 78-70W · 81-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.22	Rapla	72 : 61	BK Ogre
2023.01.08	BK Ogre	92 : 75	Rapla
2022.12.04	Rapla	81 : 71	BK Ogre
2019.03.17	Rapla	83 : 95	BK Ogre
2018.12.16	BK Ogre	84 : 77	Rapla