Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

RaplaHOME · -

67 : 592022.11.30 · 종료

Keila KKAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.8%

VALUE EDGE+55.8%

FAIR ODDS1.79

GRADEA

RaplaAnalysis MetricsKeila KK

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-3.58 Point MarginHigher is better -10.67

149.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.83

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation4.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Rapla

W · 66-81W · 77-62L · 67-79L · 81-62W · 72-77

Keila KK

W · 89-94L · 93-86L · 85-62W · 104-96L · 81-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.21	Rapla	86 : 94	Keila KK
2023.12.16	Keila KK	75 : 86	Rapla
2023.01.14	Keila KK	71 : 85	Rapla
2022.11.30	Rapla	67 : 59	Keila KK