Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Valmiera Glass ViaHOME · -
88 : 952022.11.27 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Valmiera Glass ViaAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
166.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera Glass Via
W · 83-82L · 104-96L · 71-83L · 89-53L · 100-60
Tartu Ulikool
W · 75-86W · 84-99W · 98-76L · 101-64W · 82-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.08 | Tartu Ulikool | 86 : 93 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2024.11.06 | Tartu Ulikool | 83 : 101 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2024.02.07 | Valmiera Glass Via | 61 : 69 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.11.04 | Tartu Ulikool | 93 : 71 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2022.12.30 | Tartu Ulikool | 110 : 79 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2022.11.27 | Valmiera Glass Via | 88 : 95 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2019.02.02 | Tartu Ulikool | 70 : 76 | Valmiera Glass Via |