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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
ParnuHOME · -
66 : 812022.11.27 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.4%
VALUE EDGE+65.4%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsRapla
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
156.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
W · 75-67L · 83-82L · 63-71L · 87-64L · 73-59
Rapla
W · 77-62L · 67-79L · 81-62W · 72-77L · 78-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.18Parnu66 : 61Rapla
2023.01.25Rapla73 : 76Parnu
2022.11.27Parnu66 : 81Rapla
2022.05.05Rapla76 : 86Parnu
2022.05.03Parnu97 : 81Rapla
2022.04.30Rapla80 : 67Parnu
2022.04.28Parnu75 : 64Rapla
2022.04.19Parnu79 : 72Rapla
2021.05.05Parnu67 : 60Rapla
2021.05.01Rapla72 : 79Parnu