Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
96 : 902022.11.19 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.4%
VALUE EDGE+72.4%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADES
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-16.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.58
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
13.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 98-76L · 72-88L · 99-56L · 69-88L · 106-50
BK Liepaja
W · 86-83L · 81-68W · 77-76L · 75-71W · 98-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.22 | BK Liepaja | 70 : 69 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2022.11.19 | Rakvere Tarvas | 96 : 90 | BK Liepaja |
| 2016.02.24 | BK Liepaja | 93 : 87 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2016.02.11 | Rakvere Tarvas | 50 : 74 | BK Liepaja |
| 2015.12.17 | Rakvere Tarvas | 59 : 77 | BK Liepaja |
| 2015.11.19 | BK Liepaja | 79 : 73 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2015.01.15 | BK Liepaja | 94 : 69 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2014.11.06 | Rakvere Tarvas | 89 : 65 | BK Liepaja |