Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
67 : 792022.11.06 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.1%
VALUE EDGE+75.1%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.67
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 81-62W · 72-77L · 78-87L · 90-73W · 98-64
BC Kalev
W · 41-94W · 78-66L · 88-86W · 74-83L · 73-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.25 | BC Kalev | 82 : 54 | Rapla |
| 2023.10.28 | Rapla | 67 : 71 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.02 | BC Kalev | 77 : 83 | Rapla |
| 2022.11.06 | Rapla | 67 : 79 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.04.14 | BC Kalev | 85 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2019.03.14 | Rapla | 77 : 84 | BC Kalev |
| 2018.10.20 | BC Kalev | 81 : 68 | Rapla |
| 2016.10.29 | BC Kalev | 82 : 55 | Rapla |