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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
ParnuHOME · -
63 : 712022.11.05 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.8%
VALUE EDGE+55.8%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.83 Point MarginHigher is better +8.83
156.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
2.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
L · 87-64L · 73-59L · 82-64L · 71-77L · 87-55
VEF Riga
W · 81-62L · 78-66W · 89-53W · 89-77L · 81-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.17VEF Riga89 : 72Parnu
2024.01.13Parnu78 : 88VEF Riga
2023.10.12VEF Riga80 : 64Parnu
2023.01.15VEF Riga85 : 41Parnu
2022.11.05Parnu63 : 71VEF Riga
2018.12.27VEF Riga91 : 56Parnu
2018.11.09Parnu72 : 76VEF Riga