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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
ViimsiHOME · -
78 : 702022.11.03 · 종료
BK OgreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.3%
VALUE EDGE+56.3%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
ViimsiAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-11.50 Point MarginHigher is better -3.42
157.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.25
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Viimsi
L · 72-77W · 71-83W · 71-69W · 73-70L · 76-87
BK Ogre
W · 81-87W · 80-64W · 81-68L · 85-71W · 88-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.17Viimsi69 : 76BK Ogre
2023.11.16BK Ogre88 : 71Viimsi
2023.10.12Viimsi59 : 91BK Ogre
2022.12.08BK Ogre88 : 74Viimsi
2022.11.03Viimsi78 : 70BK Ogre