Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

VentspilsHOME · -

90 : 762022.10.29 · 종료

Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY17.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 84.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +83.0%

VALUE EDGE+83.0%

FAIR ODDS1.21

GRADES

VentspilsAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83

172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

83.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

17.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ventspils

W · 78-87W · 69-88W · 84-71W · 83-71L · 100-81

Tallinna Kalev

L · 71-69W · 90-73L · 68-78L · 72-70L · 75-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.07	Tallinna Kalev	80 : 94	Ventspils
2023.11.11	Ventspils	93 : 66	Tallinna Kalev
2022.10.29	Ventspils	90 : 76	Tallinna Kalev
2019.02.10	Tallinna Kalev	65 : 84	Ventspils
2018.12.16	Ventspils	80 : 68	Tallinna Kalev