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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
BK OgreHOME · -
80 : 642022.10.22 · 종료
Tal TechAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.4%
VALUE EDGE+72.4%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEB
BK OgreAnalysis MetricsTal Tech
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-3.42 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50
171.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.00
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
27.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Ogre
W · 81-68L · 85-71W · 88-55W · 85-71L · 109-56
Tal Tech
L · 84-71L · 77-76L · 69-81L · 83-89L · 79-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.22Tal Tech82 : 78BK Ogre
2024.02.01BK Ogre89 : 56Tal Tech
2023.12.03Tal Tech90 : 93BK Ogre
2023.01.12Tal Tech79 : 80BK Ogre
2022.10.22BK Ogre80 : 64Tal Tech
2019.03.31BK Ogre85 : 59Tal Tech
2019.03.29Tal Tech87 : 81BK Ogre
2018.11.25Tal Tech84 : 92BK Ogre
2017.01.26BK Ogre97 : 93Tal Tech
2016.11.02Tal Tech71 : 83BK Ogre