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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
69 : 882022.10.22 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY83.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +83.2%
VALUE EDGE+83.2%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsVentspils
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-16.33 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
16.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
83.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 106-50L · 98-64L · 111-65L · 82-93L · 89-98
Ventspils
W · 84-71W · 83-71L · 100-81W · 108-63L · 69-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.21Ventspils98 : 59Rakvere Tarvas
2022.10.22Rakvere Tarvas69 : 88Ventspils