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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
PrometeyHOME · -
81 : 712022.10.15 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
PrometeyAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+16.08 Point MarginHigher is better +8.83
153.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation0.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Prometey
W · 82-71W · 58-115W · 109-56
VEF Riga
W · 100-81L · 98-93W · 69-82W · 98-90W · 77-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.15VEF Riga66 : 87Prometey
2024.04.11Prometey76 : 66VEF Riga
2024.03.03VEF Riga83 : 76Prometey
2023.10.30Prometey70 : 66VEF Riga
2023.04.08Prometey77 : 62VEF Riga
2023.02.12VEF Riga73 : 92Prometey
2022.10.15Prometey81 : 71VEF Riga