Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

VentspilsHOME · -

84 : 712022.10.15 · 종료

Tal TechAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY20.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +79.6%

VALUE EDGE+79.6%

FAIR ODDS1.26

GRADEA

VentspilsAnalysis MetricsTal Tech

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50

172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.00

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

79.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

20.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ventspils

W · 83-71L · 100-81W · 108-63L · 69-82L · 98-90

Tal Tech

L · 77-76L · 69-81L · 83-89L · 79-68L · 63-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.17	Ventspils	82 : 85	Tal Tech
2024.03.02	Ventspils	101 : 90	Tal Tech
2023.02.13	Tal Tech	91 : 84	Ventspils
2022.10.15	Ventspils	84 : 71	Tal Tech
2019.01.20	Ventspils	88 : 67	Tal Tech
2018.09.29	Tal Tech	78 : 92	Ventspils