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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
BK OgreHOME · -
88 : 552022.10.13 · 종료
Valmiera Glass ViaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
BK OgreAnalysis MetricsValmiera Glass Via
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-3.42 Point MarginHigher is better +2.67
171.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.83
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Ogre
W · 85-71L · 109-56W · 83-78W · 90-97W · 78-60
Valmiera Glass Via
L · 58-115L · 108-63L · 73-67L · 82-93L · 100-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.25BK Ogre76 : 66Valmiera Glass Via
2023.10.28Valmiera Glass Via73 : 94BK Ogre
2023.01.26Valmiera Glass Via87 : 85BK Ogre
2022.10.13BK Ogre88 : 55Valmiera Glass Via
2019.04.13BK Ogre73 : 67Valmiera Glass Via
2019.04.12Valmiera Glass Via82 : 93BK Ogre
2019.04.10BK Ogre100 : 81Valmiera Glass Via
2019.03.24BK Ogre92 : 71Valmiera Glass Via
2018.12.09Valmiera Glass Via71 : 86BK Ogre