Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VentspilsHOME · -
83 : 712022.10.12 · 종료
Latvijas UniversitateAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsLatvijas Universitate
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.17
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
11.1%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
L · 100-81W · 108-63L · 69-82L · 98-90L · 77-81
Latvijas Universitate
L · 85-71W · 89-84L · 90-59L · 55-60L · 72-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.29 | Latvijas Universitate | 92 : 108 | Ventspils |
| 2024.01.20 | Ventspils | 95 : 79 | Latvijas Universitate |
| 2024.01.10 | Ventspils | 103 : 81 | Latvijas Universitate |
| 2024.01.06 | Latvijas Universitate | 85 : 103 | Ventspils |
| 2023.11.25 | Latvijas Universitate | 71 : 97 | Ventspils |
| 2023.01.11 | Latvijas Universitate | 70 : 78 | Ventspils |
| 2022.10.12 | Ventspils | 83 : 71 | Latvijas Universitate |
| 2019.01.06 | Latvijas Universitate | 61 : 89 | Ventspils |
| 2018.11.04 | Ventspils | 78 : 60 | Latvijas Universitate |