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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
RaplaHOME · -
98 : 642022.10.12 · 종료
Rakvere TarvasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADES
RaplaAnalysis MetricsRakvere Tarvas
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-3.58 Point MarginHigher is better -16.33
149.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
W · 75-71W · 83-89L · 76-86L · 97-81W · 80-67
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 111-65L · 82-93L · 89-98L · 62-109L · 88-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.12Rakvere Tarvas59 : 102Rapla
2022.10.12Rapla98 : 64Rakvere Tarvas
2022.03.09Rapla79 : 69Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.15Rapla84 : 81Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.14Rakvere Tarvas71 : 74Rapla
2021.05.12Rapla79 : 82Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.09Rakvere Tarvas73 : 90Rapla
2021.05.08Rapla73 : 77Rakvere Tarvas
2021.04.17Rapla83 : 81Rakvere Tarvas
2021.02.20Rakvere Tarvas72 : 84Rapla