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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
VEF RigaHOME · -
100 : 812022.10.08 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.7%
VALUE EDGE+66.7%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsVentspils
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+8.83 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
VEF Riga
L · 98-93W · 69-82W · 98-90W · 77-81L · 71-80
Ventspils
W · 108-63L · 69-82L · 98-90L · 77-81W · 71-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.04VEF Riga67 : 75Ventspils
2026.05.02Ventspils94 : 104VEF Riga
2026.05.01VEF Riga59 : 82Ventspils
2026.04.28Ventspils86 : 84VEF Riga
2026.04.25VEF Riga87 : 76Ventspils
2025.05.23Ventspils91 : 93VEF Riga
2025.05.20VEF Riga89 : 68Ventspils
2025.05.17Ventspils106 : 114VEF Riga
2025.05.14VEF Riga91 : 77Ventspils
2025.02.16VEF Riga96 : 81Ventspils