Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
75 : 712022.10.08 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.58
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
W · 83-89L · 76-86L · 97-81W · 80-67L · 75-64
BK Liepaja
W · 98-93L · 80-107L · 97-67L · 75-93W · 80-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.11.03 | BK Liepaja | 72 : 65 | Rapla |
| 2022.12.23 | BK Liepaja | 69 : 71 | Rapla |
| 2022.10.08 | Rapla | 75 : 71 | BK Liepaja |
| 2019.01.27 | Rapla | 99 : 96 | BK Liepaja |
| 2018.10.28 | BK Liepaja | 82 : 89 | Rapla |
| 2017.01.11 | Rapla | 83 : 71 | BK Liepaja |
| 2016.10.26 | BK Liepaja | 78 : 54 | Rapla |
| 2015.01.07 | BK Liepaja | 87 : 68 | Rapla |
| 2014.11.05 | Rapla | 72 : 76 | BK Liepaja |