Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Semi-finals
VentspilsHOME · -
85 : 702024.04.13 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.92
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
L · 91-65W · 103-83L · 82-69W · 103-69L · 81-60
BC Kalev
W · 91-65W · 63-77W · 83-77W · 66-84W · 63-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.11 | BC Kalev | 73 : 86 | Ventspils |
| 2024.04.17 | BC Kalev | 84 : 73 | Ventspils |
| 2024.04.13 | Ventspils | 85 : 70 | BC Kalev |
| 2024.04.10 | BC Kalev | 91 : 65 | Ventspils |
| 2024.03.20 | BC Kalev | 81 : 60 | Ventspils |
| 2024.01.18 | Ventspils | 88 : 110 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.04 | BC Kalev | 91 : 72 | Ventspils |
| 2022.12.30 | Ventspils | 76 : 86 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.03.24 | Ventspils | 91 : 82 | BC Kalev |
| 2018.09.29 | BC Kalev | 97 : 85 | Ventspils |