Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals

BK OgreHOME · -
82 : 902024.04.04 · 종료
PrometeyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.0%
VALUE EDGE+71.0%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
BK OgreAnalysis MetricsPrometey
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.58
174.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Ogre
L · 97-82L · 81-74W · 105-99W · 73-82L · 82-76
Prometey
W · 97-82W · 81-104W · 101-74W · 61-102W · 113-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.04 | BK Ogre | 82 : 90 | Prometey |
| 2024.03.31 | Prometey | 97 : 82 | BK Ogre |
| 2024.02.15 | BK Ogre | 68 : 91 | Prometey |
| 2023.11.05 | Prometey | 76 : 85 | BK Ogre |
| 2022.12.18 | BK Ogre | 79 : 86 | Prometey |
| 2022.10.02 | Prometey | 109 : 56 | BK Ogre |