Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals
BC KalevHOME · -
83 : 772024.03.30 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.2%
VALUE EDGE+79.2%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
BC KalevAnalysis MetricsParnu
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+3.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.08
165.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.58
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Kalev
W · 66-84W · 63-77W · 81-60W · 76-82W · 91-69
Parnu
L · 101-74W · 75-82L · 73-82W · 84-82L · 61-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | BC Kalev | 79 : 78 | Parnu |
| 2024.04.02 | Parnu | 63 : 77 | BC Kalev |
| 2024.03.30 | BC Kalev | 83 : 77 | Parnu |
| 2024.01.31 | BC Kalev | 78 : 77 | Parnu |
| 2023.11.05 | Parnu | 70 : 100 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.19 | Parnu | 78 : 83 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.01.08 | BC Kalev | 81 : 70 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.18 | BC Kalev | 73 : 82 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.17 | Parnu | 98 : 70 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.05.14 | BC Kalev | 70 : 91 | Parnu |