Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals
VentspilsHOME · -
103 : 692024.03.30 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.2%
VALUE EDGE+73.2%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
9.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
L · 81-60W · 97-90L · 105-99L · 99-76W · 80-94
Tartu Ulikool
L · 92-69L · 63-77W · 83-87L · 59-56W · 83-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.03 | Ventspils | 92 : 85 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2024.04.06 | Ventspils | 103 : 83 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2024.04.04 | Tartu Ulikool | 82 : 69 | Ventspils |
| 2024.03.30 | Ventspils | 103 : 69 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2024.01.31 | Ventspils | 92 : 63 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.04.01 | Tartu Ulikool | 92 : 69 | Ventspils |
| 2023.03.30 | Ventspils | 79 : 88 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.03.25 | Tartu Ulikool | 80 : 90 | Ventspils |
| 2023.01.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 65 : 78 | Ventspils |
| 2022.11.19 | Ventspils | 84 : 99 | Tartu Ulikool |