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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe · Latvia-Estonian League - Quarter-finals
VEF RigaHOME · -
87 : 722024.03.29 · 종료
Rigas ZelliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.0%
VALUE EDGE+69.0%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsRigas Zelli
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+11.17 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83
171.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.33
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
4.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
VEF Riga
W · 80-78W · 81-74L · 76-82W · 99-76W · 72-77
Rigas Zelli
W · 81-79W · 59-56L · 77-78L · 69-64L · 75-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.15VEF Riga80 : 93Rigas Zelli
2026.05.12Rigas Zelli112 : 100VEF Riga
2026.05.09VEF Riga94 : 84Rigas Zelli
2025.02.05VEF Riga73 : 65Rigas Zelli
2025.01.30Rigas Zelli67 : 77VEF Riga
2024.04.02Rigas Zelli87 : 94VEF Riga
2024.03.29VEF Riga87 : 72Rigas Zelli
2024.02.18VEF Riga94 : 69Rigas Zelli
2024.02.15VEF Riga98 : 77Rigas Zelli
2023.12.28Rigas Zelli93 : 86VEF Riga