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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Keila KKHOME · -
83 : 742024.03.21 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.2%
VALUE EDGE+79.2%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Keila KKAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-11.83 Point MarginHigher is better -15.17
155.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.83
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
3.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keila KK
L · 113-59L · 79-74L · 72-77L · 89-65W · 97-89
Tallinna Kalev
L · 75-82L · 87-60W · 85-77L · 80-94L · 96-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.21Keila KK83 : 74Tallinna Kalev
2023.12.04Tallinna Kalev91 : 101Keila KK
2022.12.08Tallinna Kalev78 : 82Keila KK