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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
RaplaHOME · -
61 : 1022024.03.21 · 종료
PrometeyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +78.6%
VALUE EDGE+78.6%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsPrometey
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-0.08 Point MarginHigher is better +13.83
148.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.33
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
21.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
78.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 76-83W · 77-78L · 72-76W · 54-72W · 79-78
Prometey
W · 113-59L · 20-0L · 83-76W · 70-83W · 91-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.21Rapla61 : 102Prometey
2023.10.15Prometey90 : 66Rapla
2023.01.22Prometey89 : 81Rapla
2022.12.29Rapla73 : 95Prometey