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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
VEF RigaHOME · -
81 : 742024.03.21 · 종료
BK OgreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+11.17 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42
171.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
VEF Riga
L · 76-82W · 99-76W · 72-77W · 83-76W · 94-69
BK Ogre
W · 105-99W · 73-82L · 82-76W · 89-65W · 75-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.26BK Ogre73 : 92VEF Riga
2024.03.21VEF Riga81 : 74BK Ogre
2023.10.05BK Ogre74 : 94VEF Riga
2023.03.18VEF Riga75 : 67BK Ogre
2022.11.20BK Ogre80 : 90VEF Riga
2019.04.25VEF Riga90 : 85BK Ogre
2019.04.23BK Ogre77 : 104VEF Riga
2019.04.20VEF Riga110 : 71BK Ogre
2019.03.07BK Ogre75 : 90VEF Riga