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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
75 : 822024.03.18 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME19.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY80.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +80.9%
VALUE EDGE+80.9%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsParnu
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-15.33 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
162.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.58
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
19.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
80.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 87-60W · 85-77L · 80-94L · 96-62L · 88-100
Parnu
L · 73-82W · 84-82L · 61-56W · 69-64W · 83-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.18Tallinna Kalev75 : 82Parnu
2023.12.24Parnu104 : 63Tallinna Kalev
2023.03.16Parnu77 : 93Tallinna Kalev
2022.12.22Tallinna Kalev62 : 97Parnu
2022.04.24Parnu107 : 76Tallinna Kalev
2021.04.23Tallinna Kalev68 : 78Parnu
2021.04.20Parnu88 : 76Tallinna Kalev
2021.03.31Parnu77 : 66Tallinna Kalev
2019.03.25Tallinna Kalev85 : 91Parnu
2018.11.19Parnu70 : 65Tallinna Kalev