Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

RaplaHOME · -

76 : 832024.03.17 · 종료

Valmiera Glass ViaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY21.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +78.4%

VALUE EDGE+78.4%

FAIR ODDS1.27

GRADEB

RaplaAnalysis MetricsValmiera Glass Via

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.92 Point MarginHigher is better +1.75

149.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.25

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

78.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

21.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Rapla

W · 77-78L · 72-76W · 54-72W · 79-78W · 72-61

Valmiera Glass Via

L · 83-74L · 99-81W · 61-56W · 96-62L · 91-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.17	Rapla	76 : 83	Valmiera Glass Via
2023.03.12	Rapla	96 : 64	Valmiera Glass Via
2022.12.11	Valmiera Glass Via	76 : 107	Rapla
2019.02.11	Valmiera Glass Via	69 : 82	Rapla
2018.10.13	Rapla	100 : 88	Valmiera Glass Via